Seattle — Ask a several individuals in the travel business how their sector is carrying out, and you will start out to hear some widespread refrains: Travel took a beating in 2020. The marketplace is bursting with pent-up need. Good promotions are all over the place, but the terrain keeps shifting, so consider the enable of vacation agents. Beach locations and parks are in — so, seemingly, is littering. Involving vaccine distribution hiccups and the new coronavirus variants, no person understands when the floodgates will genuinely open up.

That past issue attracts a tiny additional discussion. Roger Dow, president and CEO of the U.S. Journey Affiliation (a nonprofit trade group) says his go-to analysts at Tourism Economics forecast gradual leisure-vacation growth until June, then a spike in July, with company travel coming back in the tumble.

Mike Estill of the Western Affiliation of Journey Organizations (or WESTA, a financial gain-sharing cooperative of 150 travel businesses in five states) is far more conservative, suspecting 2021 will be the yr of scheduling journey, “but 2022 is going to be when we get balanced.”